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Might is not always right
Posted By:peer On 7/27/2006

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By Munir Daair, Special to Gulf News

America's humiliation in Vietnam at the hands of the Vietnamese resistance forces taught Henry Kissinger a bitter lesson.

"The guerrilla wins if he does not lose. The conventional army loses if it does not win," Kissinger wrote.

In Lebanon, Hezbollah had announced very early its political objective. The negotiated exchange of its two Israeli prisoners for Arab prisoners that Israel holds. And Hezbollah still holds on to this objective.

Israel started this war demanding the freeing of its two soldiers.

Thereafter Israel has been foolishly upping the ante. As matters stand today, Israel's political objectives are: Freeing its captured soldiers unconditionally and without negotiations, destruction of Hezbollah and implementation of the UN Security Council Resolution 1559.

Wars are fought to achieve political objectives. Victory in wars is not determined by how many people each side has killed or the extent of destruction each side has inflicted.

Victory in wars is determined by the extent each side has achieved its political objectives at the end of hostilities.

If Israel fails to free its soldiers unconditionally, despite its total destruction of Lebanon, then Hezbollah has won.

If Hezbollah survives to fight another day, then Kissinger's maxim would have been proven correct and Hezbollah has won.

And we already know UN Security Council Resolution 1559 has been killed by this war. On that score alone, Hezbollah has already won.

In this war, Israel gets to flip the coin. If it's tails, Hezbollah wins, if it's heads, Israel loses.

Indeed, if Hezbollah succeeds in forcing a negotiated exchange of prisoners, then not only will it be victorious by achieving its only political objective of this war, but also emerge as the vanguard of resistance movements in the world.

Let us not forget that it was Hezbollah which defeated Israel in 2000 and humiliated this regional superpower into cutting and running from Lebanon.

Again, before it defeated Israel, it was Hezbollah which forced Ronald Reagan's US Army to cut and run from Lebanon.

Indeed, Israel's and American hatred of Hezbollah has its origins from these two spectacular defeats it inflicted upon them.

Moreover, Hezbollah has repeatedly in the past forced a prisoner exchange upon Israel. Never have both, Israel and America, been humiliated in the Arab world as they have at the hands of Hezbollah.

War correspondent

Every new Israeli prime minister started his reign with confrontation. Israel's new prime minister, a man whose only military experience is as a war correspondent, has decided to throw Israel into this war to outdo all the military generals who preceded him as prime ministers.

This political amateur has navely set for Israel challenging political objectives and has picked a serious fight with a formidable opponent, the only regional force that has defeated Israel in all previous military confrontations.

Nasrallah, Hezbollah's leader, has not only politically out-foxed Israel's prime minister so far, but, hoping to neutralise Israel's air force, is now seemingly drawing Israel's army into a ground combat deep inside Lebanon.

Regardless of the outcome of this battle, the outlook for the Jewish state in this region is bleak.

In 1967, it took Israel exactly six days to defeat the combined armies of Egypt, Syria, Jordan and Lebanon.

Four countries overwhelmed and their lands occupied in only six days.

In 2006, despite the increased power of its war machine, despite the unreserved support of Bush's America, 16 days into the battle Israel is still unable to claim even a semblance of victory against Hezbollah alone.

What does this tell us about the future of Israel which has opted for military force, not peace with its neighbours, as the sustainer of its survival? What will happen to Israel, not if, but when its military can longer sustain its survival?

If I were a Jew living in Palestine, I will be extremely worried about the future. Ever since the creation of Israel the only thing this new state has done for its Jewish citizens is fight wars with its neighbours.

Before the creation of Israel, Jews had lived peacefully in the Arab world in Egypt, Yemen, Morocco, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, etc.

Many still continue to do so. Yes, there were occasional minor clashes, but nothing compared to what the Europeans did to the Jews.

Indeed, it was the Muslims who saved Jews from the Inquisition in medieval Christian Europe. During the Second World War, when Holland, Poland, France, etc surrendered Jews to the Nazis, Jews in the Arab world lived in peace knowing that they were protected.

However, following the holocaust, the Europeans decided to ship out the majority of their surviving Jewish populations.


Pushed to the abyss

It is not the purpose of this article to analyse the reasons that made Jews hated by their European neighbours who killed them and later shipped them out.

What is important is that the Europeans attempted to send their Jews to South America, then Uganda before deciding on Palestine and the creation of Israel.

Ever since, neither Jews nor Palestinians have seen peace. Wars and bloodshed have been the norm. Destruction never stopped.

Indeed, the whole world has been pushed to the abyss since the creation of Israel.

One needs to seriously consider whether, not just Arabs, but Jews themselves are better off now or before the creation of Israel.

Admittedly, life was unbearable for Jews in Europe as we clearly saw from the holocaust. But they did and still do live peacefully as citizens in Arab countries.

They might still do that. If that solution is not viable because of the last 50 years of bloodshed, then perhaps America, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, which desperately need new citizens and are great supporters of Israel, can accommodate Jews.

The world, and more so, the Jews themselves, must seriously consider alternative solutions to their predicament.

Israel might continue to win battles, but it is very unlikely that it will win the war in the long run.

Faced with an evolving Arab world of 300 million people and counting, whose antagonism, anger and hatred it provokes, Israel's long term survival is hardly worth taking a bet on.

To ensure its survival here, Israel must be resolved to win the peace rather than the battles.


Munir Daair (a.k.a Abdullah Al Rahim) is a political writer.
Gulf News

http://www.gulfnews.com/opinion/columns/region/10055204.html

 




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